
• Monday’s mortgage rates should be higher than Friday’s early pricing by approximately .250 of a discount point. The bond market is currently down 9/32 (4.58%).
• Stocks are starting the week mixed with the Dow down 108 points and the Nasdaq up 114 points.
• We are seeing headlines from the Middle East drive this morning’s bond trading. They include deaths of U.S. servicemen and higher gas prices at the pump as a result of escalating military action going back and forth this past weekend.
• The renewed military action raises concerns that the war will continue to escalate and oil/gas prices will rise again, fueling inflation concerns that hurt bond prices and lead to higher mortgage rates.
• Tomorrow also lacks any relevant data or scheduled events that we need to be concerned about.
• The rest of the week has only one monthly economic report for the markets to digest and a Treasury auction midweek that may affect rates during afternoon trading.
• There are also plenty of corporate earnings releases each day that have the potential to indirectly influence rates slightly. They include a large number of companies, including some big names, posting results this week. Generally speaking, good news for stocks is bad news for bonds and mortgage rates.
• We should see rates remain a bit calmer than last week because none of the events on this week’s calendar are considered to be highly important.
• Visit our Daily Commentary page on our site for detailed explanations on current news that is relevant to mortgage rates.
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