
• Tuesday’s mortgage rates should be close to Monday’s early pricing. If you saw an intraday increase late yesterday, you should see a similar improvement this morning. The bond market is currently up 4/32 (5.28%).
• Stocks are rallying with the Dow up 335 points and the Nasdaq up 192 points.
• There is nothing of relevance scheduled for release today. One oil price metric is down below a key threshold of $100 per barrel this morning, drawing a positive open in bonds since there is little else to influence trading.
• We are on alert for possible afternoon selling, which has been common lately. If the trend continues, we may see an afternoon increase in rates later today.
• Tomorrow also lacks any economic data that needs to be watched. However, there are a couple of afternoon events tomorrow that may have an impact on rates.
• The first of this week’s two Treasury auctions occurs tomorrow with the sale of 10-year Notes. Results of the sale will be posted at 1:00 PM ET, making this an early afternoon event for rates. A strong demand for the securities would be good news for mortgage rates because they are based on long-term debt also.
• Also tomorrow afternoon is the 2:00 PM release of the minutes from last month's FOMC meeting. One key point traders are looking for is how many more rate hikes the Fed will make over the next few meetings, especially at the remaining two of this year. There was much debate about whether or not they will make another quarter-point hike at one of those meetings, but that was before recent favorable inflation news and a weaker than expected Employment report last Friday.
• Visit our Daily Commentary page on our site for detailed explanations on current news that is relevant to mortgage rates.
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