
• Monday’s mortgage rates should be close to Friday’s early pricing. If you saw an intraday increase in rates late Friday, you should see an improvement this morning of about the same size. The bond market is currently up 3/32 (4.58%).
• Stocks are showing early gains, pushing the Dow higher by 145 points and the Nasdaq up 41 points.
• There is no relevant economic data scheduled for today or tomorrow.
• We are seeing a slight rebound in bond prices because of a lack of headlines this morning. Besides some verbal warnings to Iran from President Trump there isn’t much else to drive trading today. This is allowing for a positive open this morning in bonds, albeit they are minor.
• Let’s see what the rest of the day brings as we are not expecting bonds to hold at current levels very long. Yields should either retreat from their current levels or continue their upward momentum soon.
• The rest of the week brings us the release of only three monthly economic reports, with none of them considered to be highly influential. There are a couple of afternoon events, including the release of the minutes from the most recent FOMC meeting that may also come into play midweek.
• We are expecting headlines from the Middle East, particularly about the ceasefire with Iran and direction of oil prices, to also contribute to movement in rates this week.
• In addition to this week's data and other scheduled events, we have quite a large number of Fed-member speaking appearances set with multiple speeches being made most days. Any surprise comments, particularly about the Fed's future plans with key interest rates, could cause a strong reaction in the financial and mortgage markets.
• Overall, no day stands out as most important for rates with so few reports on the calendar. Wednesday afternoon’s FOMC minutes release could draw the strongest reaction of this week’s scheduled events, but only if it gives us some surprises.
• It will likely be something unscheduled that will cause the biggest change in rates, possibly news about the Strait of Hormuz.
• Despite the relatively light calendar, it would be prudent to keep an eye on the markets if floating an interest rate since they can get extremely active without notice.
• Visit our Daily Commentary page on our site for detailed explanations on current news that is relevant to mortgage rates.
|
Would you like to receive the commentary on a daily or weekly basis? Daily will send a copy Monday - Sunday. Weekly will send only Sunday's weekly overview/preview. Please be assured that we will not share your email address with ANYONE. Just fill out the form below!! |