
• Tuesday’s mortgage rates should be close to Monday’s early pricing. The bond market is currently down 3/32 (4.17%).
• Stocks are showing early gains with the Dow up 176 points and the Nasdaq up 111 points.
• There is no relevant economic data coming today, but there are two Fed-member speeches happening. Neither are expected to have an impact on mortgage rates though.
• We should see a relatively quiet day in the mortgage markets unless some unexpected news hits the wires.
• Tomorrow morning has three pieces of economic data that we will be watching. First will be the ADP Employment report at 8:15 AM ET that tracks changes in private-sector jobs. Forecasts are calling for 46,000 new payrolls after November’s loss of 32,000 private jobs. A much smaller number would be considered favorable for bonds and mortgage rates since it would signal more weakness in the employment sector.
• The second and third releases of the day will come at 10:00 AM ET. October's shutdown-delayed Factory Orders data will give us more insight into the manufacturing sector, albeit it is pretty aged now. Forecasts show a 1.1% decline in new orders for durable and non-durable goods, hinting at a slowing manufacturing sector back in October. A larger decline would be good news for rates even though we likely won't see a strong reaction to the report in mortgage pricing due to its age and the fact we recently got a good portion of this data in the Durable Goods Orders report.
• The Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) non-manufacturing index (aka service index) for December is tomorrow’s final release. It is similar to yesterday’s ISM manufacturing index but tracks executive opinions on business conditions in the service sector rather than manufacturing. Analysts are expecting to see a reading of 52.2, down from November's 52.6. Good news for mortgage rates would be a much weaker than predicted reading.
• Visit our Daily Commentary page on our site for detailed explanations on current news that is relevant to mortgage rates.
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