
• Friday’s mortgage rates should be nearly unchanged from Wednesday’s early pricing. The bond market is currently down 6/32 (4.01%).
• Stocks are showing early gains with the Dow up 183 points and the Nasdaq up 72 points.
• The financial and mortgage markets were closed yesterday for the Thanksgiving day holiday.
• Wednesday’s 7-year Treasury Note auction didn’t go as well as Tuesday’s 5-year Note sale. The benchmarks pointed to an average demand from investors compared to a fairly strong demand Tuesday. Fortunately, the sale didn’t have a negative impact on Wednesday afternoon’s rates.
• Also late Wednesday was the 2:00 PM ET release of the Federal Reserve's Beige Book. It didn’t give us any big surprises, showing economic activity had changed little since the last update in most of the Fed’s twelve regions.
• Half of the Fed districts reported weaker employment conditions, raising further concern about the sector that may cause the Fed to make another rate cut next month. Another key point is that prices remained elevated (inflation) and are restricting consumer spending, which supports the theory the Fed shouldn’t cut rates yet because it could fuel an increase in inflation.
• In short, there wasn’t anything significant in the Beige Book that likely altered what the Fed will do next month. They are still divided about the best action to take at the upcoming FOMC meeting.
• There are no relevant economic data or other events set for today. We can expect to see thin or light trading in the bond market today since many trading firms are on a skeleton staff with traders home for the extended holiday weekend.
• Stocks will trade today until 1:00 PM ET while bonds are set to close at 2:00 PM ET. Unless there is a major headline between now and the early close, we should see mortgage rates hold morning levels.
• Next week brings us the release of a handful of relevant economic reports, including two that we consider to be highly important.
• The week will start with the release of November’s manufacturing index from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) at 10:00 AM ET Monday. We will also get the Fed’s preferred inflation readings late in the week, but they will be from September.
• Look for details on all of next week’s activities in Sunday evening’s weekly preview.
• Visit our Daily Commentary page on our site for detailed explanations on current news that is relevant to mortgage rates.
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