Updated on November 26, 2025 10:15:40 AM EST

 

 

 • Wednesday’s mortgage rates should be slightly lower than Tuesday’s early pricing due a decent rally in bonds late yesterday. The change this morning will depend on whether or not you saw an intraday improvement yesterday afternoon. The bond market is currently down 7/32 (4.02%).

 • Stocks are looking to head into the holiday on a positive note with the Dow up 196 points and the Nasdaq up 63 points.

 • Yesterday’s 5-year Treasury Note auction drew a pretty strong demand from investors. The benchmarks indicated investor interest in the securities was stronger than other recent sales. The bond market didn’t show a strong reaction to the 1:00 PM ET results announcement, but this is common with short-term security sales. Most of yesterday’s late bond gains came before the results were announced.

 • The first of today’s three releases came at 8:30 AM ET when last week’s unemployment update was posted. It showed 216,000 new claims for jobless benefits were made last week, which was a decline from the previous week’s revised 222,000. Declining claims are an indication of strength in the employment sector. Therefore, this data is unfavorable for bonds and mortgage rates.

 • Next up was September's Durable Goods Orders report that revealed a 0.5% increase in new orders for big-ticket products like airplanes, appliances and electronics to match forecasts.

 • A secondary reading in the Durable Goods report that excludes more volatile and costly transportation-related orders (airplanes) rose 0.6% when analysts were expecting no change.

 • Yesterday’s auction results allows us to be optimistic about today’s 7-year Note auction since the term length is similar to yesterday. Another strong sale could lead to an improvement in rates before the end of the day.

 • We will also get the Federal Reserve's Beige Book report at 2:00 PM ET. This report is named simply after the color of its cover but details economic conditions throughout the U.S. by Fed region via their business contacts. Of particular interest is information regarding inflation, employment and consumer spending. If there is a reaction to the report, it will come during mid-afternoon trading.

 • The U.S. financial markets will be closed tomorrow for the Thanksgiving Day holiday. Stocks and bonds are trading a full day today, but many traders are likely heading home early for the holiday weekend.

 • There are early closes for both bonds and stocks Friday, meaning trading should be very light or thin between the holiday and the weekend.  

 • Since the markets are open, we will be updating this report Friday.

 

 • <b>We would like to take this opportunity to wish you and yours a safe and wonderful holiday!</b>

 • Visit our Daily Commentary page on our site for detailed explanations on current news that is relevant to mortgage rates.

 

 

 


CLICK HERE to view full detailed report and recommendations

If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.

 ©Mortgage Commentary 2025



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