Today's Mortgage Market at a Glance

Updated on June 2, 2026 10:13:30 AM EDT

 

 

 • Tuesday’s mortgage rates should be approximately .250 of a discount point lower than Monday’s early pricing. If you saw an intraday improvement in rates yesterday, you should see little change this morning. The bond market is currently up 2/32 (4.44%).

 • Stocks are mixed with the Dow down 110 points and the Nasdaq up 45 points.

 • There is no relevant economic data set for release today. We may see bonds drift a little in either direction, but unless there are some new headlines from the Middle East, we probably won’t see mortgage rates change much.

 • Tomorrow has three morning reports and an afternoon Fed update that we will be watching.

 • The day’s activities begin with the release of May's ADP Employment report at 8:15 AM ET. It will give us insight into the private employer portion of the employment sector. Traders are expecting it to show approximately 115,000 private sector jobs were added to the economy during the month. The smaller the number, the better the news it is for mortgage rates.

 • Tomorrow’s second release will come from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), who will release their non-manufacturing index (aka service index) for May at 10:00 AM ET. It is expected to show a reading of 53.6 that would be unchanged from April. Good news for mortgage rates would be a much lower than predicted reading.

 • April's Factory Orders data will be tomorrow morning’s final economic release. It can cause some movement in the financial markets if it varies from forecasts by a wide margin, but it isn't expected to cause much of a change in rates since a good part of the orders were posted in last week’s Durable Goods Orders report. Current forecasts are calling for a 4.3% jump in new orders. A decline would be considered favorable even though any impact on rates will likely be minimal.

 • The afternoon release is the Federal Reserve's Beige Book at 2:00 PM ET. This report is named simply after the color of its cover, but details economic conditions throughout the U.S. via business contacts in each Federal Reserve region. It is relied upon heavily by the Fed to determine monetary policy during their FOMC meetings. If there is a reaction in the bond market or mortgage pricing, it will happen during mid-afternoon hours tomorrow.

 • Visit our Daily Commentary page on our site for detailed explanations on current news that is relevant to mortgage rates.


CLICK HERE to view full detailed report and recommendations

If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.

 ©Mortgage Commentary 2026



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